Monday, August 14, 2017

About those low wage jobs and robots: People versus machines: The Impact of minimum wages on at-risk jobs

A growing automated workforce of robots does not bode well for low-income workers, particularly older ones. Minimum wages don't help. Here's a new working paper by Grace Lordan, and David Neumark 

Abstract:

We study the effect of minimum wage increases on employment in automatable jobs - jobs in which employers may find it easier to substitute machines for people - focusing on low-skilled workers from whom such substitution may be spurred by minimum wage increases.  Based on CPS data from 1980-2015, we find that increasing the minimum wage decreases significantly the share of automatable employment held by low-skilled workers, and increases the likelihood that low-skilled workers in automatable jobs become unemployed. The average effects mask significant heterogeneity by industry and demographic group, including substantive adverse effects for older, low-skilled workers in manufacturing.  The findings imply that groups often ignored in the minimum wage literature are in fact quite vulnerable to employment changes and job loss because of automation following a minimum wage increase.

More at NBER.

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