Thursday, January 11, 2018

Good question from LifeHacker: "Why the Dow Jones Breaking Records Isn't Helping Your Bottom Line"

To put it in perspective: just 52 percent of American adults owned stocks in 2016, according to Gallup. And as you may have guessed, that stock ownership is not evenly distributed among income groups: The Federal Reserve reports that 93.6 percent of families earning a median salary of $251,500 (the top 10 percent of wage earners) owned stock in 2016, while less than 40 percent of families earning up to a median salary of $54,100 did (0 to 50th percentile). Separately, an economist from New York University found that the top 20 percent of earners owned 92 percent of the stocks in 2013. So celebrating record highs for an arbitrary measure that almost half of adults don’t benefit from doesn’t make a ton of sense.
What’s a better measurement for the average worker? I’d posit employment, wages and debt. And here’s the thing. If you don’t have a job at all, you’re likely less concerned with whether the Dow is at 21,000 or 25,000 than when you’ll get your next paycheck. The unemployment rate is at a 17-year low, but economists worry that job growth may begin to slow. Then there’s wages, which are low, and our debt, which keeps increasing*—according to the Federal Reserve, consumer credit card balances are at a new all-time high of $1.0227 trillion, which should give the Dow enthusiasts pause. (*Actually, the Fed recently found we’re slightly less indebted overall because we’re not buying houses, which isn’t exactly a silver lining). Are you really celebrating the Dow’s new watermark if you have over $25,000 in student loan debt?

Solow Model from Wolfram

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